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Wrenn: Obama won't win N.C.

Submitted by ryanteaguebeckwith on October 26, 2008 - 10:00am.
Tags: Barack Obama | Carter Wrenn | George W. Bush | President '08 | Under the Dome

Carter Wrenn says Barack Obama won't win North Carolina.

The longtime Republican political consultant writes in the N&O this morning that Obama will not do well enough with Republicans unhappy with President Bush:

And that defines Obama's problem in North Carolina. In Virginia, President Bush is more unpopular than he is here — so, in Virginia, Obama leads. ... Nationally, President Bush's unpopularity has created a blue tide that has lifted Obama's candidacy so he is running about 10 points ahead of where John Kerry was four years ago.

But in North Carolina, Bush beat Kerry by 12 points. Here the tide brought Obama to the dance. It has made the presidential election a close race in the state. But a 10-point lift leaves Obama a tad short of winning the state.

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More about Carter Wrenn

Submitted by Gosh (not verified) on October 26, 2008 - 11:03pm.

I R OLDDDDD! Internets is wut? Polling bad. QUOTE ME IN PAPER BECAUSE I R NEAR DEAD AND KIDS ON LAWN DON'T CARE WUT I SAY!

Directed Political Campaigns in North Carolina for:
Ronald Reagan in the 1976 Republican Primary;
Jesse Helms in 1978, 1984 & 1990;
John East for US Senate in 1980;
Lauch Faircloth for US Senate in 1992;
Tom Fetzer for Mayor of Raleigh in 1993;
Richard Vinroot for Governor in the Primary & General Election in 2000.
He was also one of the Directors of Steve Forbes' Campaign for President in 1996.

From 1975 to 1996, he served as a Director of the National Conservative Club.

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Re: Wrenn: Obama won't win N.C.

Submitted by minnie on October 26, 2008 - 10:42pm.

Perhaps Mr. Wrenn is working on his special brand of advertising that helped Jesse Helms defeat Harvey Gantt. He is quite familiar with race-baiting ads.

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Mr. Wrenn: If McCain wins NC, it was at great expense

Submitted by Gosh (not verified) on October 26, 2008 - 8:28pm.

Thanks to Obama for not allowing the Republican nominee to just fly over our state on the way to Florida.

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Re: Wrenn: Obama won't win N.C.

Submitted by jjsmith2 on October 26, 2008 - 7:38pm.

Wrenn is letting his bias cloud his analysis.

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Re: Wrenn: Obama won't win N.C.

Submitted by marknewman on October 26, 2008 - 7:27pm.

Nice to know Carter Wrenn is physic, now we wont have to vote....

However, if we look at numbers rather than just simply polls we might find something a little different. If the turnout numbers for early vote hold through election day then Obama wins. For example, polls have put African American turnout at 20 or less, if it holds at 28 percent as in the early vote period then that would move the final number up 4 points or more therefore a win.

But all of this is semantics if we don't vote.

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