Karl Rove says John McCain will win North Carolina.
A map by a company run by the former political strategist for President Bush obtained by ABC News lists the state among Republican strongholds in the November presidential election. Still, there are some questions about its validity.
"States are allocated in Rove's exercise based on an average of public polls, which many pollsters would tell you is a rather unscientific way to look at the data," notes ABC's Jake Tapper.
The map shows McCain with a 5 percent average margin over likely Democratic nominee Barack Obama, naming only states within a 3 percent margin as "toss-ups."
But some liberal commentators are saying that is too broad a definition, noting that North Carolina and seven other state would be in play if the margin were five or six points instead.



