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One thing Nate Silver got wrong: Wake County

One thing Nate Silver got wrong on election night: Wake County.

"Almost all of Mr. Romney’s advantage can be explained by one county, Wake County, in North Carolina’s Research Triangle," wrote Nate Silver, the New York Times' superstar statistician, at 9:59 p.m. Tuesday.

The problem: Silver apparently didn't notice that the Wake County Board of Elections still hadn't posted early voting results hours after the polls closed. 

When the county finally did, the extra 260,000 votes pushed Wake County to a decisive win for Barack Obama -- not Mitt Romney who took the overall vote in North Carolina. 

Even so, Obama did find less support here, with his share of the Wake County vote falling by four percentage points compared to 2008. Voter turnout in the county topped 80 percent, a significant gain over the last presidential election.

--Andy Kenney, staff writer


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