Numbers don't change in presidential race

Pollsters are also getting similar results in the presidential race.

With polling in the gubernatorial race essentially stagnant, the race between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama also shows little change, despite advertising by both campaigns in recent weeks.

In all the polls, McCain holds a tiny lead, often within the margin of error. The inclusion of Libertarian Bob Barr does not seem to have a major effect on the results.

July 14-16: McCain 43, Obama 40, Barr 2
July 15: McCain 48, Obama 45
July 12-14: McCain 50, Obama 45
June 26-29: McCain 45, Obama 41, Barr 5
June 11-13: McCain 45, Obama 41, Barr 2
June 10: McCain 45, Obama 43, Other 6
May 28-29: McCain 43, Obama 40, Barr 6
May 14-17: McCain 44, Obama 39

The bottom line: Voters are taking a wait-and-see attitude, while pollsters are relying on static models for voter turnout. No one knows what will happen with Barr.

Come election day, the numbers could be significantly different if a huge number of previously inactive voters show up or the undecideds break decisively in one direction.

Whether that means a McCain win or an Obama win is too early to tell.