National Journal's political prognosticators issued a dubious ranking with North Carolina at the top: most likely governor's office to change parties.
The analysis doesn't tout Republican Pat McCrory's positives, or Democrat Walter Dalton's negatives, so much as reflect Gov. Bev Perdue's shadow on the race. North Carolina bests Washington state and Montana, the other top two states.
Here's the writeup: "The fundamentals of the contest between Democratic Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton and Republican former Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory haven't changed much. Each candidate is working to undermine the other's image — Dalton wants McCrory to release his tax returns, McCrory wants to see Dalton's travel records — but the advantage lies with McCrory. That's largely because Walton's boss, Gov. Bev Perdue, is so unpopular. In an era of increased partisanship, it's going to be tough for Dalton to convince North Carolinians to give the Democratic Party another shot, albeit with a different candidate."

Comments
'Dalton's boss is Bev Perdue'
June 27, 2012 - 12:55pm — concerned53Walter convinced everyone during Saturday's debate that he is just another Easley/Perdue protege when he resorted to the same tricks that Bev was guilty of in the 2008 campaign. Because there is often smoke where there is fire, there is likely something fishy with Dalton's travel records - we would see that if he ever released them.