John McCain has jumped to a huge lead in a new poll.
A recent poll by SurveyUSA found that the Republican presidential candidate had 58 percent support, Democrat Barack Obama had 38 percent. Two percent said "other" and two percent were undecided.
In previous tracking polls, SurveyUSA put McCain's lead at between four and eight points.
The poll of 671 likely voters was taken Sept. 6-8, after the end of the Republican national convention. The margin of error was not available.
Im taking the poll results pretty seriously especially since it was first noticed on www.Drudgereport.com yesterday afternoon! After posting the news several places, the 'crackkks reacted with expected venom and head explosions!!! It was bound to happen!
The partisan ID they found last month is within 1-3 points of the actual registration numbers.
Tom-
Don't they rely on self-identification for party id? I agree shift is dramatic, but is it possible? How do the ideology numbers compare to what you usually see in your polls? They don't seem to be that out of line.
The party identification breakdown on the poll is 41% Republicans, 40% Democrats, and 16% independents.
A month ago SUSA found a 46-33 Democratic party identification advantage. Although it is possible there could be some shift after the Republican convention a 14 point shift strains credulity. PPP has found a Democratic id advantage of anywhere from 8-15 points in its general election polls, and I think Civitas has found an id advantage of 11-13 points pretty consistently.
I would not take the results of this poll very seriously unless others confirm it.
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Survey USA not alone in party ID changes
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/09/the_gop_resurrection.html
…We see the first effects of McCain/Palin replacing Bush/Cheney in Monday's USA Today/Gallup Poll, in which 48 percent say they're Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party; 47 percent say they're Republicans or lean to the GOP. That merely 1-point party gap -- the strongest position for Republicans since Bush's second inaugural, at the beginning of 2005 -- had been in double digits only a few weeks ago. Moreover, voters -- by only 48-45 percent -- support the Democratic candidate in their congressional districts, the Democratic Party's narrowest advantage this year. If these numbers hold -- and it is a big if -- Republicans may well lose far fewer seats in the House and Senate in November…