Lots of people seem to think U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan will eventually vote "yes" on the health care reform bill moving through the Senate.
In an admittedly unscientific measure, Congress.org (which you may recognize as the new home of our former colleague Ryan Teague Beckwith) asked readers to pick how all 100 senators will vote on health care reform.
The idea, as RTB explains it, is to try to use group wisdom to identify the true swing votes and the people most deserving of letters, phone calls and lobbying efforts by both sides of the debate.
By Wednesday, 85 percent of the 74 people who had voted thought Hagan, a Greensboro Democrat, would vote "yes." By contrast, 98 percent had Sen. Richard Burr, a Winston-Salem Republican, as voting against the bill.
Hagan has said she supports many of the proposals in the bill, but has remained vague on key points. The uncertainty has attracted a lot of attention from special interests.
So far group wisdom has identified only Maine Republican Sen. Olympia Snowe as truly on the fence.
