The FiveThirtyEight blog ranks U.S. Sen. Richard Burr's seat as the 10th most likely to change parties in next year's election.
That's up one from August's ranking of 11. The blog, which analyzes polling data to make predictions, says the ground hasn't shifted much in any of the Senate races in the last month.
Elaine Marshall has entered the race and trails Richard Burr, but Burr's numbers are well below 50 percent.
Keep in mind that 10th place out of the 15 seats that are in play next year isn't exactly a winning ranking.
And exactly which Democrat will challenge Burr in November is not a settled question.
The Asheville Citizen Times reports that the hopeful candidates, Marshall, Cal Cunningham and Kenneth Lewis will be working the room at this weekend's Vance-Aycock dinner, an annual gathering of party faithful.




Re: Burr race ranked 10 of 15
Since the N&O doesn’t actually do actual reporting anymore and only posts what other people post on their blogs, I thought I would add this from Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report:
"And Democratic hopes of knocking off the two GOP incumbents who might be vulnerable - Sens. David Vitter in Louisiana and Richard Burr in North Carolina - appear to be slim and diminishing. It's not very likely that many Republican incumbents will lose re-election in the South these days. If Vitter behaves himself and Burr very visibly hits every county a couple times in the next year, Democrats have virtually no chance in either state."
How about doing a blog post on what Charlie Cook posted. Oh wait, that might make Burr look good and we know the N&O doesn’t want that.