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Behind Majority Action's math

Would higher mileage standards really save you money?

A radio ad by a 527 group against U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole claims that higher standards proposed in a 2003 bill would save North Carolina families "$1,600 or more on fuel costs every year."

We asked Majority Action how they got to that number. Here's their chain of logic and a quick double-checking of the figures:

* According to a November 2005 report (page 17) from the U.S. Department of Energy, the average American household with a car, truck or SUV owns 1.9 of them.

* The same report (page 60) found that the average miles-per-gallon of vehicles in U.S. households was 20.2 mpg.

* A report from the U.S. Department of Transportation found that the average miles traveled in 2006 was 12,408 per vehicle.

* Gas is currently about $4 a gallon, so the average U.S. vehicle-owning household is spending $4,668 a year on gas. (12,408 miles times 1.9 vehicles divided by 20.2 miles per gallon times $4 a gallon.)

* If the average fuel efficiency were 32 miles per gallon — the figure mandated by the failed 2003 amendment — those same households would be spending $2,947 a year on gas. (12,408 times 1.9 divided by 32 times $4.)

That adds up to a savings of $1,721. (The number is slightly higher because Majority Action used 1.8 vehicles per household instead of 1.9.) Still, there are a few caveats to that number.

We'll look at them next.


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