Atlantic Monthly

NYT, CQ: N.C. is a presidential toss-up

ryanteaguebeckwith — Fri, 10 Oct 2008 17:27:44 -0400

The New York Times says North Carolina is a toss-up.

The newspaper had previously not included the state in its round-up of battlegrounds and had it leaning towards John McCain on its electoral map, but that changed today:

North Carolina, a state that is normally is about as red as they get, is being moved into the toss-up column. Mr. Obama has poured tons of money into the state, and is spending a lot of time there, and Republicans are growing increasingly anxious that he might take it away from them.

Meantime, Congressional Quarterly also moved the state into its "No Clear Favorite" category today.

At the outset, McCain had the edge — the GOP has won 9 out of the past 10 contests — but his comfort margin has evaporated. Obama can count on a large African-American turnout.

The Cook Political Report, MSNBC's editors, Republican consultant Karl Rove, and editors of The Atlantic Monthly also consider North Carolina a toss-up.

The Rothenberg Political Report still calls the state "Leans McCain," but his ratings haven't been publicly updated since late September.

Cook: N.C. a presidential toss-up

ryanteaguebeckwith — Mon, 06 Oct 2008 10:39:35 -0400

The Cook Political Report ranks North Carolina a presidential "toss-up."

Noted Washington political analyst Charlie Cook has previously included the state's 15 Electoral College votes in the "Leans Republican" category.

He is the first of the big three analysts to say the state is in play. The Rothenberg Political Report still calls the state "Leans McCain," while CQ Politics says it "Leans Republican."

However, MSNBC's political editors, Republican consultant Karl Rove and the Atlantic Monthly have said it is a toss-up.

Atlantic Monthly: N.C. a true toss-up

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 12:17:38 -0400

The Atlantic Monthly says North Carolina's a "true toss-up."

The Washington-based magazine includes the state in four states "where historical voting patterns are not asserting themselves," moving it from "Leans McCain," according to blogger Marc Ambinder.

Seems to be a big suburbanite swing among women in particular; still, the big question in NC is whether there'll be enough African Americans, young voters and Latinos to turn the state blue if the economy remains the top issue and if the Obama machine can turn out the votes. Obama has been here twice in as many weeks.

Karl Rove's firm has also labeled North Carolina a toss-up, as has MSNBC's editors.

The big three are not yet convinced. Congressional Quarterly rates the state "Leans Republican." The Rothenberg Political Report ranks it as "Leans McCain." And the Cook Political Report lists is as "Leans Republican."