TelOpinion Research

What North Carolina thinks: Civitas

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 03 Mar 2009 12:33:41 -0500

What does North Carolina think?

Recent polls by the conservative Civitas Institute show significant agreement on a number of issues that are before the legislature.

Below, the percentage who agreed with a sentiment:

76: Support a state constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage.

75: The legislature should be broadcast live on TV, like C-SPAN.

73: Political candidates should fund their own campaigns instead of using public financing.

59: Members of the legislature should stick with two-year terms.

58: Hunting should not be allowed on Sundays in North Carolina.

55: The state should set up an independent redistricting commission.

51: Oppose a constitutional amendment to let the governor appoint the schools superintendent.

The poll of 600 registered voters was conducted Feb. 16-19 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Obama 48, McCain 43, Barr 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Thu, 09 Oct 2008 17:44:58 -0400

Barack Obama is in the lead in another poll.

According to a recent survey by the conservative Citivas Institute, the Democratic presidential candidate had 48 percent, Republican John McCain had 43 percent and Libertarian Bob Barr had two percent.

"The amount of money Obama is spending on television in North Carolina is finally paying dividends," said executive director Francis De Luca. "Obama's ability to capitalize on the financial crisis and to outspend McCain in North Carolina gives him a strong advantage."

De Luca said Obama is getting 37 percent of the white vote, what it considers the threshold for him to win North Carolina.

The survey of 600 likely voters was conducted Oct. 6-8 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Perdue 43, McCrory 41, Munger 3

ryanteaguebeckwith — Wed, 20 Aug 2008 16:47:59 -0400

The gubernatorial race remains neck and neck.

According to a recent poll by the conservative Civitas Institute, Democratic candidate Beverly Perdue had 43 percent support, Republican Pat McCrory 41 percent and Libertarian Mike Munger three percent.

Thirteeen percent were undecided.

"Despite the initial round of ads critical of McCrory, he has held his support steady and, in fact, closed the gap on Perdue by one point," said executive director Francis DeLuca.

The live survey of 600 registered voters was conducted Aug. 14-17 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

McCain 46, Obama 40

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 14:28:48 -0400

John McCain is still in the lead.

According to a recent poll by the conservative Civitas Institute, the Republican presidential candidate had 46 percent support, while Democrat Barack Obama had 40 percent and Libertarian Bob Barr had two percent.

Twelve percent were undecided.

That matches other recent polls, which have also shown McCain in the lead despite nearly $2 million in recent ad spending by Obama.

"While Obama and his campaign have talked about North Carolina being in play, the numbers do not seem to be indicating that is happening on the ground despite an unprecedented effort," said executive director Francis DeLuca.

The live poll of 600 registered voters was conducted Aug. 14-17 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

McCain 43, Obama 40, Barr 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 22 Jul 2008 11:08:31 -0400

The presidential race remains close.

According to a recent survey by the conservative Civitas Institute, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain had 43 percent support, Democrat Barack Obama had 40 percent and Libertarian Bob Barr had two percent. Fifteen percent were undecided.

That puts McCain's lead within the margin of error. Recent polls by Rasmussen Reports, Survey USA and Public Policy Polling have shown a close race, with McCain barely ahead.

"This month we've had slight tightening along with an increase in the number of undecided voters over last month," said executive director Francis DeLuca.

The live-operator survey of 800 likely voters was conducted July 14-16 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Dole 47, Hagan 38, Cole 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 22 Jul 2008 09:36:23 -0400

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole retains her lead.

According to a recent survey by the conservative Civitas Institute, the Salisbury Republican had 47 percent support, Democratic rival Kay Hagan had 38 percent and Libertarian Chris Cole had 2 percent. Fourteen percent were undecided.

"Dole continues to hold onto a very strong lead even as Hagan has matched her dollar for dollar over the last few months in fundraising," said executive director Francis DeLuca.

That matches recent polls by Rasmussen Reports, Survey USA and the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, which all show Dole with a substantial lead.

The live-caller survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 14-16 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va., The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Perdue 43, McCrory 40, Munger 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Fri, 18 Jul 2008 10:50:48 -0400

The gubernatorial race remains very close.

According to a recent survey by the conservative Civitas Institute, Democratic nominee Beverly Perdue received 43 percent support, Republican Pat McCrory received 40 percent, and Libertarian Mike Munger received two percent. Fourteen percent were undecided.

"We see this race continue to be within the margin of error for the poll, making it a statistical dead heat,” said Executive Director Francis DeLuca.

Polling numbers in the race remain stagnant since the May 6 primary, with Perdue barely edging McCrory in recent polls by Survey USA and the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling.

DeLuca said McCrory has a huge lead in the Charlotte area and a slim lead in the mountains, while Perdue leads the eastern part of the state, the Triangle and the Triad.

The live-caller poll of 600 likely voters was conducted July 14-16 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Perdue 43, McCrory 41, Munger 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Thu, 19 Jun 2008 09:56:09 -0400

Beverly Perdue and Pat McCrory are in a dead heat.

According to a recent survey by the conservative Civitas Institute, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee had 43 percent, while McCrory had 41 percent. Libertarian candidate Mike Munger had 2 percent and 14 percent were undecided.

In a May poll by the group, Perdue also led McCrory 43 to 42, with 15 percent undecided. Munger was not included in that poll.

"We have seen very little movement in this race over the past month," said executive director Francis Deluca. "With both candidates focusing a majority of their time on organizing and fundraising rather than active campaigning, the polling remains virtually unchanged."

The poll of 600 likely general election voters was taken June 11-13 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. It had a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Correction: An earlier version of this post misstated McCrory's numbers.

Dole 48, Hagan 38

ryanteaguebeckwith — Wed, 18 Jun 2008 14:09:48 -0400

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole has a 10-point lead.

In a recent survey for the conservative Civitas Institute, Dole had 48 percent, while state Sen. Kay Hagan had 38 percent. Libertarian candidate Chris Cole had one percent and 13 percent were undecided.

"Senator Dole has been able to open up a significant lead over her challenger due to the effective advertising campaign she has run over the past month," said executive director Francis DeLuca. "Since last month, Senator Hagan concluded her advertising in conjunction with the end of her primary race, while Senator Dole has just begun to reintroduce herself to voters."

In last month's poll for the group, Dole led Hagan by just two points. Other recent polls have shown Dole opening a wider lead against Hagan since advertising on television.

The live-operator poll of 600 likely general election voters was conducted June 11-13 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

McCain 45, Obama 41, Barr 2

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 17 Jun 2008 13:11:52 -0400

John McCain leads Barack Obama by four points.

In a recent poll by the conservative Civitas Institute, the Republican presidential nominee had 45 percent, followed by Obama at 41 percent and Libertarian nominee Bob Barr at 2 percent. Twelve percent were undecided.

In the previous survey for the group, McCain led Obama 44-39. Barr was not included in that poll. Other surveys have shown Barr gaining as much as six percent.

"Both Senator McCain and Senator Obama improved their numbers over last month by solidifying the support of their party’s base voters," said executive director Francis DeLuca in a statement. "Obama increased his support among Democrats by five percent, while McCain increased his support among Republicans by three percent."

The live survey of 600 likely general electoin voters was taken June 11-13 by TelOpinion Research of Alexandria, Va. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.