If John Edwards' sex scandal had broken in January rather than in August, who would have Edwards’ absence helped?

Howard Wolfson, Hillary Clinton's campaign director, claimed that with Edwards out of the race, she might have carried the Iowa caucuses, instead of finishing third, Rob Christensen reports.

Highly unlikely, said David Redlawsk, the director of the Hawkeye Poll.

When Iowa Edwards supporters were asked who their second choice might have been if Edwards was not viable, 51 percent Barack Obama and 32 percent said Clinton.

"Monday's claim from Howard Wolfson that two-thirds of Edwards supporters would have supported Clinton is just not supported in the data collected directly from those who actually participated in the caucuses," Redlawsk said. "Had Edwards not been running, and if nothing else had changed, my data suggest that Obama would have ended up even further ahead of Clinton than he was."

Will the Hillary Clinton campaign take the North Carolina May 6 primary seriously?

Howard Wolfson, Clinton's communications director, left out North Carolina when asked to name the states where Clinton could do well.

"I think Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, Pennsylvania and Puerto Rico are all states we believe we have a good chance to do well in," Wolfson said in a teleconference, Rob Christensen reports.

He also said there increasing talk about finding ways to count the votes of Florida and Michigan, whose votes were discounted as punishment for moving up their primary against party recommendations.

Indiana will also hold its primary on May 6, and Clinton has close ties to U.S. Sen. Evan Bayh.

Note to Wolfson: Puerto Rico's not a state. Yet.