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Public backs voter photo IDs, but would accept affidavits new polls shows

A new poll shows strong support for a new photo ID bill, but also finds the public would not turn a voter away if they showed alternative forms of identification.

The poll by SurveyUSA found that 75 percent of voters back a voter photo ID bill. But 70 percent would not turn a way a registered voter who doesn't have one if the voter signs an affidavit and provides a verifiable number such as a date of birth or social security number.

The poll was commissioned by the League of Women Voters of North Carolina and it comes as the House Elections Committee is scheduled to vote Wednesday afternoon. The bill does not include the back up option.

The poll found that 74 percent of voters agreed with the statement that “legislators should show evidence of significant problems, such as real voter fraud, before they pass law that make voting more difficult.''

The poll of 803 registered voters was taken April 11 through April 14th and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

Presidential race a toss up in North Carolina, new poll shows

A new SurveyUSA poll calls the presidential race a toss up in North Carolina -- a storyline that is likely to continue through November in this battleground state.

Mitt Romney holds a negligible lead at 45 percent to President Barack Obama's 44 percent -- within the poll's margin of error. The survey of likely voters was conducted for WRAL-TV and fits within the results of other result polls. Romney is winning independent 45-32 percent but Obama takes ideological moderates 48-37 percent.

As for Obama's support for gay marriage, 55 percent say it's important to their decision for president while 43 percent say it's not very important or not a factor. Within those numbers, black voters are the largest group saying it's not a factor at all, at 30 percent. This demographic apparently helped propel North Carolina's recent marriage amendment to passage. Click below for the full SurveyUSA write up.

Republican Pat McCrory holds slim edge against Walter Dalton in new poll

SurveyUSA poll released Tuesday shows Republican Pat McCrory with a slight edge on Democrat Walter Dalton, 44 percent to 39 percent.

The numbers, conducted for WRAL-TV, confirms a recent Public Policy Polling survey of voters that showed the N.C. governor's race tightening. McCrory enjoyed a wide lead earlier this year as Dalton faced Democratic primary challengers. But his 5-point lead now just barely exceeds the plus-or-minus 4.4 percentage point margin of error, according to SurveyUSA of likely voters.

Obama, Dalton, Coleman, marriage amendment leading

President Barack Obama leads Republican Mitt Romney in North Carolina, according to a new survey. If the election were held today, Obama would defeat Romney by a 47-43 percent margin, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WRAL.

Obama has a 12-1 lead among black voters, while Romney has 55 percent of the white vote. Obama leads among women, younger voters, Democrats, voters in the Triangle and in Eastern North Carolina.Romney wins among affluent voters, Republicans, unaffiliated voters and those living in the Charlotte area.

In the constitutional amendment regarding marriages, the poll found the amendment passing by a 57-37 percent margin.

In the Democratic primary for governor, Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton was leading with 32 percent of the vote, followed by former Congressman Bob Etheridge with 23 percent, and state Rep. Bill Faison with 5 percent, with 30 percent undecided.

Burr 58, Marshall 34

Republican Sen. Richard Burr holds a 58 to 34 percent lead over his Democratic challenger, Elaine Marshall, according to a new poll conducted for WRAL.

The poll by SurveyUSA is second in the last week to show Burr opening up a huge lead over Marshall, as the Republican continues to own the TV airwaves and Marshall runs a low visibility campaign, reports Rob Christensen.

The statewide survey of 582 likely voters, which was conducted Sept 10-13, had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. The same poll two months ago found Burr leading by a 46 to 36.

Burr was leading not only among men, but he also held a 51 to 42 percent advantage among women. He also leads among all age groups and income and education levels and in every region except the Triangle, where he remains in a dead heat with Marshall.

Burr had a favorability rating of 36 percent and was viewed unfavorably by 26 percent. Marshall was viewed favorably by 27 percent, while 25 percent had an unfavorable view of her.

The Marshall campaign began putting out the word that it was a flawed poll that did not accurately project the state of the Senate race.

“Even with all of his money from Wall Street executives and special interests, Senator Burr can't hide from 16 years of failure in Washington D.C,” said Sam Swartz, Marshall's spokesman.

“North Carolina voters don't like the job Senator Burr's doing in Washington, and his weak numbers have shown for a over a year,” Swartz said.

By contrast, the Burr campaign and the National Republican Senatorial Committee made sure that reporters saw WRAL's story about the poll.

Shuler 45, Miller 44

Is Democratic Congressman Health Shuler in for a tough re-election fight?

A new poll by SurveyUSA seems to suggest that Shuler may have a more difficult challenge from Republican Jeff Miller than many had believed, reports Rob Christensen.

The poll found the 11th congressional race to be a dead heat, with Shuler leading Miller by a 45-to-44 percent margin.

Many analysts had believed that Shuler, the former Tennessee and Washington Redskins quarterback, was in decent shape in his mountain district because of his conservative-leaning voting record and his folksy appeal.

Shuler also has a major fundraising advantage. He had $1.4 million on hand in his campaign treasury as of June 30, compared with $65,000 for Miller, according to the Federal Election Commission.

The SurveyUSA poll was commissioned by the Civitas Institute, a Raleigh-based conservative organization. The survey of 400 registered voters was conducted July 22-25 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Etheridge and Ellmers even in new poll

A new survey finds that Democratic U.S. Rep. Bob Etheridge is locked in a tight race with his Republican challenger, Renee Ellmers, following his confrontation with two videographers on a Washington sidewalk.

Ellmers has a one-point lead over Etheridge at 39-38 percent, with 12 percent saying they would vote for Libertarian Tom Rose and 11 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll released Thursday by the Civitas Institute. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent, which means Ellmers and Etheridge are in a statistical dead heat, Rob Christensen reports.

The survey of 400 registered voters in the 2nd district was conducted June 15-16 when newspaper  headlines were filled with stories of Etheridge roughly handling a young man who sought to question him.

The Civitas Institute is a Raleigh-based conservative advocacy group. SurveyUSA of Clifton, N.J. is an independent polling firm.

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