The Rothenberg Political Report ranks U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan's seat leans Democrat in the first 2014 Senate election ratings. The report -- a leading Washington handicapper -- says: "Given the GOP's recent victories in the state, Hagan is almost guaranteed a serious challenge"
A dozen seats are safe for each party. Of the nine competitive seats, three lean Democrat and one is favored Democrat. Three more tilt Democrat.
Republicans are favored in two but only one seat leans Republican. And one -- South Dakota -- is a pure toss up.
The Washington Post's political prognosticators rank the race No. 4 on their list of most competitive Senate seats. The writeup: "A recent poll from Democratic-leaning automated pollster Public Policy Polling shows Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan’s approval rating is underwater, but she nonetheless leads potential GOP competitors. If Republicans can find the right candidate, Hagan will face a tough road to reelection."