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UPDATED: The conservative Civitias Institute sponsored a poll last week that found the presidential race in North Carolina essentially tied. 

The survey of likely voters released Friday gave Republican Mitt Romney 48 percent and President Barack Obama 47 percent, a one-point lead within the four-point margin of error. The Civitas poll echoes a more recent one released Thursday from the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, which showed the race knotted at 48 percent.

The poll was conducted by National Resarch Inc. from Oct. 20-21 and reached 600 likely voters.

A poll by the conservative Civitas Institute suggests North Carolinians favor reform of the state's Medicaid program by a wide margin.

A poll by the conservative Civitas Institute provides an in-depth look at how Council of State races are shaping up, and the biggest revelation is that Democrat Linda Coleman is leading Republican Dan Forest in the race to become North Carolina's lieutenant governor.

Coleman would pick up 43 percent of the vote while Forest would take 39 percent, according to the poll, and the remaining refused to participate or are undecided.

Forest is within the poll's 4 percent margin of error.

Francis X. De Luca, president of Civitas, said leads in many of the Council of State races can be attributed to something not at play in the lieutenant governor's race.

“Any name recognition is important in the so-called ‘down ballot’ races, and that naturally helps incumbents,” De Luca said. “However, there were substantial numbers of undecided voters in these surveys. Last-minute campaigning and voter turnout likely will play big roles in the final outcomes.”

A new poll shows President Barack Obama leads Republican Mitt Romney in North Carolina by four points -- the third survey in a week to give the Democrat the slight edge.

The National Research poll conducted for the conservative Civitas Institute gives Obama 49 percent to Romney's 45 percent. With Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in the survey, the margin remains: Obama at 47 percent to Romney's 43 percent. Johnson received 4 percent.

The poll's four-point margin of error shows the race is still close. Two other polls released last week -- from High Point University and Purple Polls -- gave Obama a slight advantage but also within the margins. The National Research poll was conducted Sept. 18-19 and reached 600 likely voters.

Updated: The conservative Civitas Institute released a poll Friday showing Republican Pat McCrory with a 16-point lead against rival Walter Dalton, though the sample appears skewed in McCrory's favor.

The poll shows McCrory getting 31 percent of the black vote, which strategists believe is unlikely.

Civitas released only a few poll questions and no numbers about the sample or methodology. The robo-poll was conducted Sept. 4-6 by contacting 500 registered voters. It's margin of error is 4.5 percent.

Unaffiliated voters favor GOP candidate Pat McCrory by a wide margin in the race for governor, according to a Civitas Poll.

McCrory leads Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton, the Democrat, with independents by 46 percent to 29 percent, according to the poll. Ten percent support Libertarian Barbara Howe. More than half the unaffiliated voters surveyed either had no opinion of Dalton (29 percent) or had never heard of him (27 percent).

"Many voters just don't know who Walter Dalton is," Civitas President Francis X. De Luca said in a statement.

Twenty-two percent had no opinion of McCrory, and 9 percent had never heard of him. Forty-five percent of unaffiliated voters had a favorable view of McCrory, while 24 percent had an unfavorable view. Dalton was 23 percent favorable and 20 percent unfavorable.

The poll has President Barack Obama and former Gov. Mitt Romney in a dead heat, at 45 percent each.

The survey of 400 voters registered as unaffiliated was conducted Aug. 20 and Aug. 21.  The poll has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Republican Pat McCrory has a 10-point lead over Democrat Walter Dalton in the governor's race, according to a new poll.

McCrory, the former Charlotte mayor lead Dalton, the lieutenant governor, by a 47-37 percent margin, according to a poll conducted for The Civitas Institute, a conservative advocacy group based in Raleigh. Barbara Howe, the Libertarian candidate had 7 percent.

That is a widening of the race since the last Civitas Poll taken nearly a month ago, which had McCrory leading Dalton by a 46-44 percent margin with Howe at 7 percent.

The spin: “Any one poll is a snapshot of voter sentiment,” said Francis De Luca, Civitas president. “More important are the trends over time, and those trends show McCrory maintaining a significant lead.''

The poll of 600 likely voters was conducted July 16-18 by National Research Inc. and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The presidential race in North Carolina remains very tight, despite millions spent on TV ads by both sides, according to a new poll.

Republican challenger Mitt Romney leads Democratic President Barack Obama by a 49-48 percent margin, which is within the margin of error, according to a new poll taken for the Civitas Institute, a conservative advocacy group based in Raleigh.

That is similar to a poll taken earlier this month taken by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic leaning group,which showed Obama leading Romney by a 47-46 percent margin, also with in the margin of error.

The Civitas Poll found that Obama's unfavorable rating had risen to 50 percent in the state from 48 percent in May. His favorability rating had fallen to 47 percent, down from 50 percent in May.

Romney's unfavorable's in the state have also risen from May from 42 percent to 44 percent. But his favorable ratings have risen from 47 to 50 percent.

The spin: Francis DeLuca, Civitas president: “The number of voters who say they have a 'very unfavorable' view of President Obama has gone up 6 percentage points to 43 percent just since May. Meanwhile, through Romney has been hit with a barrage of attack ads, in those two months his favorable rating crept up two points to 50 percent. Now he's also closing in on a majority when voters indicate who they'd vote for.''

The poll of 600 North Carolina voters was conducted July 16-18 by National Research, Inc., Holmdel, N.J. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

UPDATE: Romney has lost ground from a Civitas Flash Poll taken June 29-July1 after the Supreme Court ruling on the health care law, which had Romney leading Obama in the state by a 50-45 percent margin.

Republican Pat McCrory has only a narrow lead over Democrat Walter Dalton in the governor's race when Libertarian candidate Barbara Howe is included, according to a new poll.

McCrory, the former Charlotte mayor, leads with 46 percent over Dalton, the lieutenant governor with 44 percent, with Howe at 7 percent, according to a poll conducted for the Civitas Institute, a Raleigh-based conservative advocacy group.

That is a much tighter than a May Civitas Poll that was was a head-to-head match, which showed McCrory with a 10-point lead over Dalton. The May poll did not include Howe.

The spin: “Although the polls differ somewhat in format, the data suggests that a significant portion of McCrory's support shifted to Howe when given the chance,” said Francis De Luca, Civitas president. “To win those votes in November, McCrory likely will have to persuade libertarian-minded voters that he too wants to and can rein in out-of-control government.''
    The survey of 600 N.C. registered voters was conducted by National Research Inc. of Holmdel, NJ and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

GOP gubernatorial candidate Pat McCrory has a 10 percentage point lead over Democrat Walter Dalton, according to a new survey.

McCrory, the former Charlotte mayor leads with 48 percent compared to 38 percent for Dalton, the lieutenant governor, according to the latest Civitas Poll. The Civitas Institute is a Raleigh-based conservative advocacy group, which commissioned the poll.

McCrory had a 48 percent favorable rating and a 20 percent unfavorable rating, while Dalton had a 33 percent favorable rating and 21 percent unfavorable. Dalton's head-to-head numbers with McCrory have risen eight points since a similar Civitas Poll taken in February.