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Civitas poll shows Coleman leads, Forest within margin of error

A poll by the conservative Civitas Institute provides an in-depth look at how Council of State races are shaping up, and the biggest revelation is that Democrat Linda Coleman is leading Republican Dan Forest in the race to become North Carolina's lieutenant governor.

Coleman would pick up 43 percent of the vote while Forest would take 39 percent, according to the poll, and the remaining refused to participate or are undecided.

Forest is within the poll's 4 percent margin of error.

Francis X. De Luca, president of Civitas, said leads in many of the Council of State races can be attributed to something not at play in the lieutenant governor's race.

“Any name recognition is important in the so-called ‘down ballot’ races, and that naturally helps incumbents,” De Luca said. “However, there were substantial numbers of undecided voters in these surveys. Last-minute campaigning and voter turnout likely will play big roles in the final outcomes.”

National Research, Inc., a New Jersey-based firm, conducted a survey of 600 registered N.C. voters on Sept. 18 and 19 to form the results. Only those who voted in at least one of the last two general elections or registered since then were counted. 15 percent of the sample are described as "cell phone only" hosueholds.

Results of the poll are listed below, and the entire crosstabs will be available online after a luncheon announcing the results.

If the election for Lieutenant Governor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  Dan Forest, the Republican or Linda Coleman, the Democrat?

Coleman: 43 percent

Forest: 39 percent

If the election for State Insurance Commissioner were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between: Mike Causey, the Republican or Wayne Goodwin, the Democrat?

Causey: 33 percent

Goodwin: 41 percent

If the election for State Treasurer were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between: Steven Royal, the Republican or Janet Cowell, the Democrat?

Royal: 34 percent

Cowell: 46 percent

If the election for Commissioner of Agriculture were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  Steve Troxler, the Republican or Walter Smith, the Democrat?

Troxler: 45 percent

Smith: 37 percent

If the election for Auditor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  Debra Goldman, the Republican or Beth A. Wood, the Democrat?

Goldman: 34 percent

Wood: 40 percent

If the election for Commissioner of Labor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  Cherie Berry, the Republican or John C. Brooks, the Democrat?

Berry: 44 percent

Brooks: 39 percent

If the election for Secretary of State were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  Ed Goodwin, the Republican or Elaine Marshall, the Democrat?

Goodwin: 37 percent

Marshall: 47 percent

If the election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between:  John Tedesco, the Republican or June Atkinson, the Democrat?

Atkinson: 45 percent

Tedesco: 35 percent


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