Tuesday's primary election is hours away. So Dome is hosting a political pool to test the prowess of its loyal pundits/readers about North Carolina politics. Post your answers to the five questions in the comment section below or email John Frank at jfrank@newsobserver.com.
The winner will get a Dome shout out and -- wait for this -- a News & Observer prize pack featuring a spiffy red water bottle and a high-coveted N&O cartoon umbrella.
1. Will North Carolina's approval of the constitutional amendment be higher or lower than the lowest margin of any marriage referendum in the South? (Virginia passed it's amendment by 57 percent in 2006.)
2. What percent of the vote will Mitt Romney receive in the GOP primary? (Also on the ballot: Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul.) Partial credit within 3 percentage points.
3. Which candidate wins the Democratic primary for governor and by what margin? Partial credit within 1 point.
4. Will Mitchell County approve the marriage referendum by a larger margin than Orange County rejects it?
5. Pick over or under: Four statewide races go to runoffs.
Tie breaker: Guess the overall voter turnout percentage.
Comments
1. lower 2. 58% 3. Which
May 8, 2012 - 1:49pm — teepack1. lower
2. 58%
3. Which candidate wins the Democratic primary for governor and by what margin? Walter Dalton, 41%-38% over Etheridge
4. Will Mitchell County approve the marriage referendum by a larger margin than Orange County rejects it? Yes.
5. Pick over or under: Four statewide races go to runoffs. Over.
Tie breaker: Guess the overall voter turnout percentage. 42?%
Pool
May 8, 2012 - 1:34pm — puffmom1011. lower
2. 55%
3. Dalton, by 7 points
4. No
5. under
Dome Election Poll
May 8, 2012 - 11:29am — libertypoint1. lower
2. 80 percent
3. Etheridge - by 3 percent
4. Yes
5. Under
Tie-breaker: 41 percent
guessing game
May 8, 2012 - 9:56am — danmanley22991. higher
2. 62
3. Dalton by 8, 46 to 38
4. Higher
5. Under
Turnout will be about 39%
I want to win an official N & O umbrella
May 8, 2012 - 6:52am — inandoh1. Higher than in VA.
2. Romney will get 64% of the vote.
3. Dalton beats out Etheridge by 38%-31%, a 7-point margin.
4. Yes.
5. Over.
6. Turnout 35%.
My Predictions
May 8, 2012 - 3:40am — stevenfm1. The amendment will recieve 63% of the vote, higher than in VA.
2. Romney will get 55% of the vote.
3. Dalton beats out Etheridge by 44%-39%, a 5-point margin.
4. Yes. I predict Mitchell passes it by about 75%, while Orange rejects it with around 70%.
5. Over.
6. Turnout hits about 37%.
Pool
May 7, 2012 - 5:26pm — btusha1. The marriage amendment will be approved with 55% of the vote. The total will be lower than VA's.
2. Romney will score 58% of the vote because we Republican's are getting like Democrats and not willing to take stands. I voted no preference which will get less than 10%.
3. Dalton will win the primary with 38% of the vote and lead Ethridge by 5% and Ethridge will force a runoff. 5% is what Faison will get. My personal choice for those who are Democrats is Bill Fasion. I fundamentally disagree with him on almost every issue, but he is honest in his core beliefs. That cannot be said of the two other candidates. Not sure if McCrory is honest or not.
4. No. Will be close but % Orange will be higher with the college kids and hopefully there are enough Dems smart enough to vote for Bill Fasion.
5. Democrat Labor Commissioner; Republican Auditor, Republican LG, Republican Insurance Commissioner
I will make a bold prediction and believe that 13th. CD will go into a run off. Bill Randall will pull enough votes to force it. Not sure which 2 will be in but.
Predictions
May 8, 2012 - 12:12pm — dcope1. Higher at 59%
2. Romney at 57%
3. Dalton 42% by 4 point margin
4. Yes
5. Over
Tie-breaker: 38.5%
1) Higher 2) 66% 3) Dalton
May 7, 2012 - 4:31pm — phs02tj1) Higher
2) 66%
3) Dalton by 7 points
4) Yes
5) Over
40% turnout
Why don't you actually
May 7, 2012 - 4:24pm — NotaliberalWhy don't you actually report news rather than trying to be cute all the time?
2 no preference
May 7, 2012 - 4:21pm — gercohenon #2, "no preference" is also a ballot choice