newsobserver.com projects - Jay Reiff - Comments

Re: Why did Moore pull TV ads?

liam — Fri, 15 Feb 2008 10:41:48 -0500

Mr. Jensen,

My allusion of collusion may have been a bit much. But given your methodologically unsound analysis, the convenient timing of the your post with Mr. Ambrose's e-mail, and PPP's connections to Perdue's campaign you'll have to forgive the assumption.

I have no ties to the treasurer other than a modest contribution and pledged support. However, your firm has long ties to the Perdue campaign and has engaged in a semi-public feud with Moore's campaign for some time now. Your predecessor is also a staff member for Mr. Ambrose if I'm not mistaken.

Re: Why did Moore pull TV ads?

TomJensen — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 20:01:43 -0500

Mr. Liam-

Yesterday's post was an expansion, not a 'rehash' on a previous post. Monday I crunched the numbers on PPP's poll and found that Perdue was doing better in the markets with tv than in the ones without tv. Then Survey USA's poll came out Tuesday and Wednesday morning I did the same analysis on their poll, which found the same trend, except much more strongly than in ours. Hence the new post because there was new information.

Also, at the end of my post on Monday, I issued pretty much the exact caveat that you say here I did not:

"It's not a big difference but it shows she might be getting a little more traction with her ads. We'll have to see it across a couple months to really make any conclusions."

Since Mr. Ambrose, who I have never communicated with in my life, sent his email out after my posts your claim that I was parroting his talking points is absurd.

What is your connection with the Moore campaign?

Re: Why did Moore pull TV ads?

liam — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 17:35:56 -0500

Mr. Jensen and Mr. Ambrose are mistaken.

One month of "meet the candidate" advertising, especially during the month of January, does not often result in a bump in the polls. It usually takes much longer for advertising to do what Mr. Ambose is claiming it should do. These early ads are more about raising name ID than anything else.

Mr. Ambrose sees what he wants to see in these events, understandable as he is running a rival campaign. But Mr. Jensen, less understandably, is parroting Mr. Ambrose's talking points. Yesterday's post is a essentially a rehash of a post Mr. Jensen did last week, timed perfectly with Mr. Ambrose's press release.

Also, Mr. Jensen fails to mention that this "bump" could be nothing at all. What's the margin of error for decided voters in the media markets in which Perdue is advertising? Is it more than the "bump" for Perdue? I bet it is considering the small sample size. But Mr. Jensen doesn't mention that. Doesn't fit in with the Perdue narrative, I suppose.

It may be true that Moore's ads were not popping, I don't know. But I'll let you in on a secret, neither do Zach Ambrose or Tom Jensen.

Re: Why did Moore pull TV ads?

nepal3 — Thu, 14 Feb 2008 16:32:35 -0500

Richard Moore needs to start over in his thus-far ill-fated campaign for Governor. First, he is being sued in delaying or fudging State Pension Fund reports, probably because he is embarrased to report that his investments with pension money have lost value in Wall Street markets. Second, State Employees, who should be supportive of his management prowess and prior successes, are instead taking out full page newspaper ads against Mr. Moore. Third, his opponent, Lt. Gov. Bev Perdue has run ads on TV that capture her engaging, down-home personality and attentive care for common folks, unlike the bustling Wall Street/Banker look Mr. Moore portrays. Problem Mr. Moore has is that no matter what his consultants design for him, he is STILL motivated by Wall Street Banker values. Let's hope Ms. Perdue wins by contrasting her truth with that of Mr. Moore's.

Bill Robinson 1204 Melton Court Raleigh,NC 27615 919-326-2455

Re: Moore to launch big ad buy this weekend

mbinker — Fri, 11 Jan 2008 16:01:31 -0500

There's a transcript here: http://tinyurl.com/ytcjv7

Re: Perdue shoots down debate

deepthroat — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 08:23:07 -0500

Couldn't have said it any better Isaac. Is she being aloof/presumptuous to brush off the debate? Maybe. Are her loyalties to the North Carolina people, who rightfully deserve - and are afforded - the opportunity to watch and gather information on Gubernatorial Candidates from as many debates as possible on the real issues that effect our every day lives, or is she too important or above us? Maybe. However, her campaign could very well be described as ambiguous, enigmatic, and illogical at some points - as she has displayed a blatant sense of disregard to the legitimacy and honesty which defines the esteemed office of Governor of North Carolina; she already has been caught padding her resume with false information to glorify a mediocre career as an Instructor, as well as failing to detail the donors in her somewhat shady campaign financing operations, which is required by law. Bev is a good person and a formidable candidate, but she needs to get her campaign and infrastructure straightened out and on a better track that does not so closely resemble her current disdain/disenchantment for a local debate, and more importantly, the aforementioned gaffes clouding her candidacy.

Re: Perdue shoots down debate

FFC1304 — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 08:00:52 -0500

elections are controlled by Raleigh pressures, and the proliference of teat sucking democrackkks who control NC!

in the last election, remember that Sleazely refused to allow the LP candidate from any televised debates. Then the demopublicans denied more than 13,000 voters their voting CIVIL RIGHTS in NC! Filthy scum the democrackkk 'leaders' are who ENSLAVE us ALL in this once great state!

STRIVE to be SMARTER than a democrackkk!

Hahahahaha

Anglico — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 17:50:57 -0500

"The voters deserve better than someone who hides behind a spokesman," said Jay Reiff, the spokesman Richard Moore was hiding behind.

Very funny.

What's more amazing is that the guy still has a job, but I guess when you need someone to hide behind, one warm body is as good as another.

Re: Perdue shoots down debate

bluescorpio — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 17:34:43 -0500

What a silly comment from Jay Reiff. Obviously Ms. Perdue is not "hiding behind a spokesperson" since she has agreed to do at least four debates.

Re: Perdue shoots down debate

Isaac136 — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 17:08:55 -0500

Her refusal to debate Moore is both arrogant and foolish. I hope he hits her over the head over and over and over with it.

Re: Perdue shoots down debate

cal — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 16:30:21 -0500

Why doesn't WRAL have the Democrats debate with the Republicans on Jan 17?

That would make things really exciting and it would keep Miss Perdue from having to work too much.

Re: A visit from Richard Moore

concerned_citizen — Fri, 28 Dec 2007 13:19:20 -0500

After perusing the websites referred to in the dome blog articles, I am now completely disgusted with both Moore and Perdue.

As these candidates are very well aware, the REAL goal of negative campaigning is to keep people from going to the polls at all.

Yes, that's right--the goal of these candidates is to influence people to give up their CIVIC RESPONSIBILITY as free citizens of a democratic society.

In my book, that makes negative campaigning a sort of civic terrorism.

Negative campaigning is especially offensive to young new voters. The kids who had just started highschool when 9-11 happened haven't yet had a chance to vote in gubernatorial or presidential elections. So perhaps for the first time, these kids are tuning in--and THIS is what they find????

Of course candidates don't really want younger folks to vote, because they are an unknown--they don't know HOW they will vote--so they are secretly pleased to turn them away. Making negative campaigning Civic Terrorism of the Next Generation.

The NC Democratic Party should put the lid on all this, because this sort of intra-party mud-slinging weakens the entire party, because voters end up thinking, I don't want EITHER of these two. (This is especially true of younger voters.) If the state party doesn't reign them in, then it too is guilty of this civic terrorism.

(Before someone comments on why this is a reason to vote Republican--the Republican party is even MORE guilty of using negative campaign tactics--which is why this independent voter started tuning them out long ago.)

The bottom line is that our Democracy, and Our Kids, deserves better that this political campaign crap.

Re: A visit from Richard Moore

Proctor — Sat, 22 Dec 2007 21:47:23 -0500

Why is everybody picking on Stella's brother Randy?
He was on his way to making RR look and sound so dandy.

The N&O said he went and "took" funds of a certain amount
From that fair city east of Gov. Easley's Rocky Mount.

But this was something business folks refer to as salary,
Which is as legit as an '80s jump shot by Mark Alarie.

And say, "Hark the Sound of Tar Heel voices,"
What Carolina crooners are there among our choices

For filling in on stage at the Theater Parton,
Famous also because it rhymes with Barton,

Home of that basketball team that surprised the Nation
And left folks by Wilson's oaks jumping with jubiliation.

It takes a while, when you're start up a new music show,
To build a crowd that will fill the aisles row by row.

After all, when I play fiddle on the street in Raleigh,
I've been known to draw three or four people, by golly!

So to all the good folks in the know over in Double-R,
Give us a chance to come bearing tickets from afar.

To help put this theater on a more solid foundation
For the winter, spring and summer months' duration.

Ask not what your country rock band can do for you,
Ask who can sing Willie's "Crying in the Rain" with eyes blue.

And remember, we may not have East Tennessee's Rockytop,
But we do have our own Chowan County's Rockyhock.

"Wish that I was up in Rockyhock, up by Eden-ton,
"They grow good pumpkins there and y'all should go try one.

"Rockyhock, you'll always be--home sweet home to me,
"Good old Rockyhock, up there in Northeastern N.C."

And if you think these rhymes are cornier than most,
Just wait 'till you read the next poet's post!

David Proctor McKnight
Durham

[Played fiddle on Stella Parton's USO tour of Germany in the 1980s.]

Re: A visit from Richard Moore

alman — Sat, 22 Dec 2007 19:48:49 -0500

Why do you say Strive to be Smarter than a Democrackkk to every post on this site? Strive to contribute some intelligent thoughts.

Babble

bnartist — Sat, 22 Dec 2007 08:23:26 -0500

Enough with the kkk line. Besides, you are located in Western NC ranting about Eastern NC. Talk about demeaning babble?