Atlantic Monthly: N.C. a true toss-up

ryanteaguebeckwith — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 12:17:38 -0400

The Atlantic Monthly says North Carolina's a "true toss-up."

The Washington-based magazine includes the state in four states "where historical voting patterns are not asserting themselves," moving it from "Leans McCain," according to blogger Marc Ambinder.

Seems to be a big suburbanite swing among women in particular; still, the big question in NC is whether there'll be enough African Americans, young voters and Latinos to turn the state blue if the economy remains the top issue and if the Obama machine can turn out the votes. Obama has been here twice in as many weeks.

Karl Rove's firm has also labeled North Carolina a toss-up, as has MSNBC's editors.

The big three are not yet convinced. Congressional Quarterly rates the state "Leans Republican." The Rothenberg Political Report ranks it as "Leans McCain." And the Cook Political Report lists is as "Leans Republican."

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Atlantic Monthly: N.C. a true toss-up